Contrary to what many Western pundits want us to believe, the Strait of Hormuz is not Iran’s forever weapon. The Iranian regime can threaten Hormuz, but it cannot stop the future.
Nachum, what you’re saying makes a great deal of sense, and I genuinely hope this process reshapes the Middle East strategically and economically in ways that permanently weaken Iran’s leverage and intimidation tactics.
But at the same time, I still believe the core issue remains the regime itself. As long as this Islamist regime survives, the nuclear threat never fully disappears. We already saw for years the argument that their nuclear program was supposedly only for “peaceful purposes,” yet they fight relentlessly to preserve enriched uranium capabilities and maintain the infrastructure necessary to move toward weaponization whenever they choose.
That is why I do not think this ends simply with bypass pipelines, trade corridors, or reducing dependence on Hormuz. Those things are extremely important strategically, but ultimately the regime itself remains the source of instability, terrorism, proxy warfare, and long-term nuclear danger.
If Trump or future leaders manage to buy 10 or 20 years of reduced threat, that is certainly a victory. But it is not the ultimate victory. The real long-term solution is the collapse or transformation of the regime itself. Until then, the danger remains permanently in the background
I don’t think that was the point of his argument. He’s talking about the way the hormouz issue is being weaponized as a key point condemning the war , and how that argument isn’t valid.
I hear you, Moshe, but the argument is still valid until those other routes are done. Until those pipelines are actually out running, it is still very much an issue. And I do agree with the essay totally. I was just putting Iran in perspective, even without that as a threatening position, we still have a problem that has to be resolved with Iran.
Thanks for some optimism. I had no idea these possible Iranian work-arounds were in existence. Hopefully this info gets to those who are souring on trump in time for the midterms.
Thank you for this. I will unpack some things that I see from following my favorite Geopolitical expert Peter Zeihan and my own take on it. Iran won't surrender. It's a five thousand year old civilization. They will wait Trump out. Ground troops? We would need a million and the moment they leave, Iran will back at it. I would love to see the Islamic Republic gone. Yes, we killed the Ayotollah. Peter Zeihan explained there are ten thousand mullahs, plus the Revolutionary Guard. Iranian people won't rebel now. Look what happened last time. You are right. A Saudi pipeline to the Red Sea can be bombed and there are the Houthis. Israel has to keep bombing Iran. For them, Iran will always be a threat.
Excellent article. In addition, we must remember that the Tanakh and the New Covenant have hundreds of prophecies which clearly show us that, as in the days of Noah, we are rapidly coming to a time when the entire world system will be destroyed. This will be followed by the Jewish Messiah taking His position on the throne which is the seat of David in Jerusalem. The Kingdom of God will rule the earth and fix all the current issues we are so upset about.
Look at a map of the trade routes of the old Nabatean Empire (900-300 B.C.E.) and you will see the future of oil transportation infrastructure. Petra anyone?
Nachum, what you’re saying makes a great deal of sense, and I genuinely hope this process reshapes the Middle East strategically and economically in ways that permanently weaken Iran’s leverage and intimidation tactics.
But at the same time, I still believe the core issue remains the regime itself. As long as this Islamist regime survives, the nuclear threat never fully disappears. We already saw for years the argument that their nuclear program was supposedly only for “peaceful purposes,” yet they fight relentlessly to preserve enriched uranium capabilities and maintain the infrastructure necessary to move toward weaponization whenever they choose.
That is why I do not think this ends simply with bypass pipelines, trade corridors, or reducing dependence on Hormuz. Those things are extremely important strategically, but ultimately the regime itself remains the source of instability, terrorism, proxy warfare, and long-term nuclear danger.
If Trump or future leaders manage to buy 10 or 20 years of reduced threat, that is certainly a victory. But it is not the ultimate victory. The real long-term solution is the collapse or transformation of the regime itself. Until then, the danger remains permanently in the background
I don’t think that was the point of his argument. He’s talking about the way the hormouz issue is being weaponized as a key point condemning the war , and how that argument isn’t valid.
I hear you, Moshe, but the argument is still valid until those other routes are done. Until those pipelines are actually out running, it is still very much an issue. And I do agree with the essay totally. I was just putting Iran in perspective, even without that as a threatening position, we still have a problem that has to be resolved with Iran.
You forgot to mention alternative technologies, solar, wind, hydroelectric, hydrogen and atomic energy.
Drop fossil fuels. The world will be a better cleaner safer place to live.
Thanks for some optimism. I had no idea these possible Iranian work-arounds were in existence. Hopefully this info gets to those who are souring on trump in time for the midterms.
Thank you for this. I will unpack some things that I see from following my favorite Geopolitical expert Peter Zeihan and my own take on it. Iran won't surrender. It's a five thousand year old civilization. They will wait Trump out. Ground troops? We would need a million and the moment they leave, Iran will back at it. I would love to see the Islamic Republic gone. Yes, we killed the Ayotollah. Peter Zeihan explained there are ten thousand mullahs, plus the Revolutionary Guard. Iranian people won't rebel now. Look what happened last time. You are right. A Saudi pipeline to the Red Sea can be bombed and there are the Houthis. Israel has to keep bombing Iran. For them, Iran will always be a threat.
Excellent article. In addition, we must remember that the Tanakh and the New Covenant have hundreds of prophecies which clearly show us that, as in the days of Noah, we are rapidly coming to a time when the entire world system will be destroyed. This will be followed by the Jewish Messiah taking His position on the throne which is the seat of David in Jerusalem. The Kingdom of God will rule the earth and fix all the current issues we are so upset about.
Look at a map of the trade routes of the old Nabatean Empire (900-300 B.C.E.) and you will see the future of oil transportation infrastructure. Petra anyone?
I saw a video last year focused on Tehran being close to running out of ground water. How will this regime supply water to all of its people?